UFC Nashville Predictions, Betting Guide & Podcast

Off to Music City

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But you don’t have to call the number in that video link - I’ve got you covered right here, with my UFC Nashville predictions. I’m hitting at a 64% clip this year (and 61% over my career - 2700+ fights!) picking winners for every UFC fight, so obviously, I’m a genius and/or a soothsayer. If you’re a degen and want to put some money down on the fights this weekend, here are my picks for every fight. Plus, I’ve embedded the MMA Gambling Podcast that I host at the bottom of the article.

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Overall Record: 1679-1074 (61%)

2025 Record: 167-92 (64%)

Access my UFC gambling analytics spreadsheet here - over four years of data from UFC fights that help you make winning picks.

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Main Card

Derrick Lewis (+210) vs Tallison Teixeira

(photo by MMAnytt)

This pick could look really bad in retrospect, but that’s the very reason I’m taking Derrick Lewis in Saturday’s main event - his opponent, Tallison Teixeira, is still an unknown. He may turn out to be the real deal (for a heavyweight). But for now, I’m willing to take my chances that this is too much too soon for him.

Gabriel Bonfim (-400) vs Stephen Thompson

No such hesitation in the co-main event. Stephen Thompson shouldn’t be fighting at this level any longer. Gabriel Bonfim can hang with him on the feet, but he’s a killer on the ground, and that’s where he should send this fight.

Steve Garcia (-135) vs Calvin Kattar

Eventually Calvin Kattar’s chin is going to betray him. And Steve Garcia just might be the man to do it.