UFC 314 Predictions, Betting Guide & Podcast

Pretty pretty pretty good fight card

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But you don’t have to call the number in that video link - I’ve got you covered right here, with my UFC 314 predictions. I’m hitting at a 62% clip this year (and 61% over my career - 2600+ fights!) picking winners for every UFC fight, so obviously, I’m a genius and/or a soothsayer. If you’re a degen and want to put some money down on the fights this weekend, here are my picks for every fight. Plus, I’ve embedded the MMA Gambling Podcast that I host at the bottom of the article.

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Overall Record: 1599-1036 (61%)

2025 Record: 87-54 (62%)

Access my UFC gambling analytics spreadsheet here - over three years of data from UFC fights that help you make winning picks.

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Main Card

Diego Lopes (+123) vs Alexander Volkanovksi

The main event doesn’t come down to technique or style or who is a “better fighter”. Alexander Volkanovski is 36 going on 37 and has been knocked out in back-to-back fights. Diego Lopes is younger, bigger, and a knockout threat. It’s as simple as that. I’ll gladly take the plus money on the Brazilian.

Paddy Pimblett (-148) vs Michael Chandler

(photo by James English)

Could Paddy Pimblett get knocked out by Michael Chandler? For sure. But I still like his chances of surviving and winning on the ground. As long as he’s fine getting continuously fouled by the dirtiest player in the game.

Yair Rodriguez (-198) vs Patricio Pitbull

It’ll be nice to see Patricio Pitbull in the octagon, but it’s a decade too late. Yair Rodriguez is going to be too big and dangerous for Pitbull to have a successful UFC debut.